Emotions

Emotions in forex trading

Controlling emotions in forex trading is usually understood as the ability to feel nothing. That is unattainable and unnecessary: without emotions a person makes no decisions at all. The manageable part is different — at which moment of a trade an emotion gets access to the button, and how many decisions you left for that moment.

Six states and the point where each one interferes

It is useful to look not at the name of a feeling but at its place in the chain of a trade. The same nerves before an entry and after an entry produce different mistakes and are treated by different rules.

StateWhere it interferesWhat the hands doPrice
FearBefore entry and in positionSkips the setup, does not place the stopEdge not collected
GreedWhen calculating sizeIncreases the lot without changing the stopRisk above plan
FOMOAt the sight of someone else's moveEnters after most of the moveA poor entry price
TiltAfter a heavy lossBreaks rules one after anotherA run of violations
Gambling urgeIn the absence of a setupLooks for a trade for the processOvertrading
EuphoriaAfter a good runRaises size «on the wave»The largest loss

Note the last row: the biggest loss most often comes not after a run of failures but right after the best run. This is a stable observation from journals, and the explanation is simple — control weakens after success, not after failure.

Working nerves against dangerous gambling urges

They cannot be told apart by the strength of the sensation: the pulse is the same. They differ by what the attention is directed at and by what happens to the rules.

normalNerves before an entry on the setupAttention is on the conditions: has price reached the level, where the stop goes, what size. The rules are followed in full. Such nerves do not get in the way and weaken by themselves over time.
borderlineImpatience in the absence of a signalAttention is on the chart in general rather than on a specific condition. The wordings «almost like it» and «I could take a smaller size» appear. The rules are still followed, but they are already being stretched.
breakdownA gambling urge and a need to be in a positionAttention is on the action itself rather than on its result. The trade is needed for the sake of the trade; after closing, the next one is sought immediately. The rules are recalled after the fact.

A one-question check. «If I close the terminal for two hours right now, will I feel relief or loss?» Relief means you are in a working state and simply tired. A sense of loss, that «the move will get away», is already a gambling urge, and in that state a trade will cost more than the average.

Controlling emotions on forex: why «pulling yourself together» does not work

Self-control is a consumable resource. It is high in the morning, in a calm state and on a flat account, and it is at its minimum exactly when it is needed: after the second stop, late in the evening, in the fourth hour at the chart. Building a system on it means designing for the best case.

Two approaches to one task

+A mechanismThe order is placed, the limit is set, the terminal closes by rule. It works the same in any state and requires no consent.
+Reducing the number of decisionsThe fewer decisions are taken with a position open, the smaller the surface for an emotion.
WillpowerIt demands the resource at exactly the moment when there is least of it. It produces a result in the first few days and a relapse in the second week.
Self-knowledge without rulesKnowing that you are prone to revenge trading does not by itself stop you getting even: the decision forms faster than the awareness of it.

Hence the order that runs through the whole site: first a limit, then measurement, and only then work on the state itself. The reverse order is the most common reason «psychology does not help».

What to do with each state

Fear prevents entering and placing the stop
Reduce position size to a sum whose loss does not change the evening. The breakdown is in fear in trading.
You want to add size on an «obvious» signal
Size is calculated by a formula from risk and is not revised in the moment. The breakdown is in greed.
Price left without you and you want to catch it
The rule «after X points of the move the entry is cancelled» solves this mechanically. The breakdown is in FOMO.
After a big loss everything went off the rails
A stop-day introduced in advance. The breakdown is in tilt.
A trade is needed even when there is no setup
A limit on the number of trades per day and a list of permitted pairs. The breakdown is in gambling and addiction.
After a good week the size grew by itself
A constant-risk rule and a ban on changing it more often than once a month. The breakdown is in euphoria.

Bodily signs: how to recognise a state before it reaches the button

An emotion becomes expensive not at the moment it arises but at the moment it reaches an action. Between those two points there is a window of several minutes, and it is recognised by the body rather than by thoughts — by then the thoughts have already been selected to fit the desire.

Six bodily signals and an action for each. The list is deliberately short: a long one is not recalled at the moment it is needed.
SignWhat usually stands behind itWhat to do in those minutes
A pulse in the ears, heat in the faceTilt or a gambling urge after a strong moveGet up from the desk without closing positions that are running to plan
Holding your breath before the clickFear of entering on a completed setupCheck the size: almost always it is bigger than calculated
The sense of time has goneA gambling urge and overtradingLook at the number of trades this session and compare it with the limit
Tension in the shoulders and jawAccumulated stress rather than the current tradeClose the session: the quality of decisions has already fallen
Lightness and «everything is clear»Euphoria after a run of profitsCheck the current size against the recorded base risk
An urge to open the terminal outside the windowA gambling urge or postponed revenge tradingDo not open it: a trade outside the schedule is statistically the worst

Notice that in almost every row the action is the same — look at a number, not at the chart. That is not a coincidence: your own state is judged unreliably, whereas size, the number of trades and what is left of the daily limit are verifiable quantities.

What happens to expectancy when a state decides

A conversation about emotions becomes concrete when they acquire a sign in a formula. Take a system with an edge and look at what each state does to it separately — with the entry rules unchanged.

A model calculation: the entry rules are the same in every row, only the behaviour changes. Expectancy is calculated as win rate × average win − (1 − win rate) × average loss.
StateWhat changes in the tradeWin rateAverage RExpectancy
Working to plannothing45 %+2.00 / −1.00+0.350 R
Fear at the exitprofit cut to 1R45 %+1.00 / −1.00−0.100 R
Greed in sizerisk ×2.5 on some trades45 %+2.00 / −2.50−0.475 R
FOMO at the entrystop further away, target closer45 %+0.40 / −1.00−0.370 R
Overtradingextra trades at a 30 % win rate38.6 %+2.00 / −1.00+0.157 R
Tiltsize ×3, entries outside the setup30 %+2.00 / −3.00−1.500 R
expectancy = p × average win − (1 − p) × average loss
plan: 0.45 × 2.00 − 0.55 × 1.00 = +0.350 R
fear at the exit: 0.45 × 1.00 − 0.55 × 1.00 = −0.100 R

The main conclusion of the table is in the second row. Early profit-taking alone, without a single violation of the entry rules and without any growth in size, flips the sign of the system. That is the answer to why a strategy that «works on history» does not work on an account: on history a robot closes the trade, on an account a human does.

Frequently asked questions

Can you learn to trade without emotions?

Without emotions, no; without emotional decisions, yes. The difference is that the feeling stays but the action is not tied to it: the stop is already placed as an order, the size is calculated by a formula, the daily limit is set. The sensation does not go anywhere, it simply no longer affects anything.

Is it true that experienced traders feel nothing?

No. What changes is not the strength of the feeling but its consequences: an experienced trader has closed in advance every point where a feeling could have interfered. On top of that comes the habit of recognising a state by bodily signs before it reaches the button.

Do breathing practices and meditation help?

As a way to lower the general level of arousal, yes — this is supported both by experience and by research on stress resilience. As a replacement for rules, no: a calm person without a stop loses exactly as much as an agitated one without a stop.

Which emotion do I start with if all of them get in the way at once?

None of them. When it feels like «everything gets in the way», what works is not analysing states but introducing a hard external limit for a couple of weeks: one trade a day, a fixed size, a stop-day after the first loss. Once the flow of decisions narrows, it becomes visible which state is the leading one — the breakdown map shows the same thing.

DiagramWhere each state interferes with a trade
The points where emotions interfere with a trade: fear before the entry, greed when calculating size, FOMO at the sight of someone else's move and tilt after a close at the stop
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APTF editorial teamWe examine trading psychology where it shows up in the statement: the price of one broken plan, the probability of a run of stops, the cost of revenge trading and of overtrading. We give the formulas in full so that every calculation can be repeated in your own spreadsheet.Who writes and how we verify the dataData verified: